WAC rivals lock horns in Reno

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

01/27/2007 - Reno, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Utah State Aggies take on their toughest opponent of the season tonight as they matchup against the 18th-ranked Nevada Wolf Pack in Western Athletic Conference action from the Lawlor Events Center in Reno.

The Aggies, currently third in the WAC standings with a record of 4-2, have won five straight games since falling in back-to-back outings versus Boise State and Fresno State to open league play earlier this month. The most recent win for USU came a week ago with a narrow 57-56 victory over San Jose State on the road.

As for the Pack, they bounced back from their first WAC loss of the campaign a week ago by posting an easy 84-67 triumph against Louisiana Tech at home on Thursday night. The decision pushed Nevada to 6-1 in league play and kept the squad in a tie for first place with the New Mexico State Aggies.

With respect to the all-time series between these two schools on the hardwood, the Aggies are ahead of Nevada by a commanding 23-9 mark even after the Pack defeated USU in the title game of last year's WAC Tournament with a 70-63 overtime decision.

Jaycee Carroll dropped in a game-high 22 points last week as the Aggies defeated San Jose State in California. The victory pushed Utah State to 12-0 this season and 23-2 when Carroll puts up 20 points or more in a contest. Also scoring in double figures for the Aggies was Chaz Spicer with 16 points, with the team getting a mere six points off the bench with only two players seeing action in a reserve role. Carroll, one of the nation's top three-point shooters a year ago, is at it again this time around as he is knocking down 44.3 percent out on the perimeter, which leads to his 21.1 ppg. But Carroll is much more than a deep threat these days because he is also first on the team with 5.9 rpg and has converted 83-of-89 (.933) at the free-throw line as well. Stephen DuCharme and Spicer account for 10.2 and 10.0 ppg, respectively, with the former chipping in 5.1 rpg and shooting almost as well from the field (.601) as he is at the charity stripe (.612). As a team, the Aggies are one of the most accurate shooters at the line in the nation with a mark of 77.2 percent after 20 games.

Ramon Sessions took over the spotlight for a change with the Wolf Pack as he tallied a game-high 21 points in the team's double-digit victory over Louisiana Tech on Thursday night. But more than shooting 8-of-12 from the field and 5-of-6 at the free-throw line, Sessions also cleared seven rebounds and handed out a team-high seven assists as well. Nick Fazekas cruised through the evening with 13 points and seven boards, followed by Marcelus Kemp who posted 12 points. Hard to believe but Sessions, who has led the team in scoring in three of the last four outings, has actually been to the free-throw line more than both Fazekas and Kemp, converting 90-of-111 to come upon his 14.2 ppg. Sessions, who raises his scoring almost a full two points per game against WAC opponents, also paces the program with 88 assists, so the Pack is now much more than just Fazekas (19.9 ppg, 11.4 rpg), Kemp (18.7 ppg, 4.2 rpg) and those other guys. However, make no mistake, when the Pack needs a big play they always turn to the WAC's two-time Player of the Year in Fazekas before considering alternative options.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.